Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-09 0.172365 0.193939 0.216576 0.242042 0.269838 0.299202 0.332510
2025-03-16 0.142277 0.171248 0.203232 0.240976 0.284105 0.331652 0.387831
2025-03-23 0.124428 0.158654 0.198102 0.246527 0.303944 0.369418 0.449269
2025-03-30 0.107767 0.144960 0.189553 0.246269 0.315749 0.397334 0.499562
2025-04-06 0.094358 0.133408 0.181957 0.245719 0.326131 0.423011 0.547281
2025-04-13 0.083212 0.123327 0.174927 0.244728 0.335106 0.446528 0.592442
2025-04-20 0.075557 0.116914 0.171775 0.247969 0.348941 0.475938 0.645243
2025-04-27 0.070260 0.113086 0.171505 0.254575 0.366936 0.510751 0.705463
2025-05-04 0.063816 0.106939 0.167451 0.255550 0.377156 0.535496 0.753120
2025-05-11 0.059886 0.104036 0.167563 0.261983 0.394625 0.569898 0.813905
2025-05-18 0.056259 0.101209 0.167466 0.267899 0.411341 0.603515 0.874252
2025-05-25 0.050975 0.095295 0.162365 0.266208 0.417171 0.622392 0.915160
2025-06-01 0.046620 0.090564 0.158823 0.266722 0.426296 0.646290 0.963914
2025-06-08 0.042259 0.085398 0.154211 0.265286 0.432394 0.666000 1.007277
2025-06-15 0.039936 0.083465 0.154477 0.271125 0.449124 0.700821 1.072088
2025-06-22 0.036550 0.079335 0.150907 0.270766 0.456534 0.722505 1.118942
2025-06-29 0.033443 0.075394 0.147338 0.270130 0.463344 0.743325 1.164850
2025-07-06 0.030554 0.071561 0.143658 0.269039 0.469275 0.762850 1.209156
2025-07-13 0.028697 0.069518 0.142868 0.272522 0.482243 0.792820 1.268893
2025-07-20 0.027561 0.068784 0.144283 0.279636 0.500998 0.831646 1.342079
2025-07-27 0.025593 0.066167 0.142168 0.280684 0.510131 0.856269 1.394966
2025-08-03 0.024613 0.065506 0.143519 0.287613 0.528757 0.895435 1.469792
2025-08-10 0.023615 0.064710 0.144552 0.293983 0.546596 0.933703 1.543895